Boris Johnson set for triumphant Downing Street return with 373 MPs

Poll of polls suggests Boris Johnson‘s Conservatives could win HUGE 96-seat majority despite losing five per cent share of the popular vote

Labour leader is facing an electoral wipe out with set to return to Downing Street with a majority of 96. 

At the time the general election was called, the Conservative Party had 298 seats while Labour had 243. 

However, according to research conducted by , Mr Johnson will return to parliament with 373 MPs – far in excess of the 326 needed for a Commons majority. 

The researchers say there is a 60 per cent chance of an overall Conservative majority compared with 12 per cent for Labour.  

In 2017, Theresa May lost her majority returning from her snap election with 318 seats with a 43.5 per cent share of the vote. 

It is estimated that Mr Johnson will secure 373 seats despite the Conservative share of the vote falling to 38.2 per cent because Labour‘s 41 per cent share from 2017 will drop to 27.2 per cent. 

Nigel Farage‘s Brexit Party is likely to receive 10 per cent of the vote but will not win any seats, while the Liberal Democrats‘ 15.9 per cent share could see them with 25 seats. 

The figures used by Electoral Calculus are from opinion polls from October 25 to November 4, 2019 in a sample of 15,917 people. 

The poll of poll predicts major Labour losses across all parts of England, Scotland and Wales, with many ‘traditional‘ red areas turning blue. 

The resurgent Liberal Democrats are expected to make gains in London, the South West, and Scotland. 

Across the Midlands, it is predicted that the Conservatives will pick up 21 seats from Labour.

Labour are predicted to drop a further 11 seats in the North West. Over on the North East, things are equally as grim, with four Labour seats under threat – including Tony Blair‘s former Sedgefield constituency. 

In London, Labour is predicted to lose seats to both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. 

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According to social justice campaigners, Labour‘s woes may be a result of losing the trust of poorer people.  

According to us , Andy Cook, chief executive of the Centre for Social Justice said: ‘We‘re serving up evidence that low-income Britons make up a big voting bloc in our swing seats. The party leaders need to win them over and, on this evidence, they have a mountain to climb. 

‘No one comes out well in our survey with most  poorer voters having been forgotten by their local canvassers and MP. 

‘The Labour Party can only muster support from just over a third of the poorest voters and they see Labour as the most out-of-touch of the lot. The evidence shows a major swing from Labour‘s target voters to the Brexit Party, who seem to take slightly smaller bites out of the Conservatives.‘ 

Mr Corbyn has suffered a number of heavy blows with former home secretary David Blunkett claiming the ‘anti-Semitism‘ and ‘thuggery‘ in the party makes him ‘despair‘.

Lord Blunkett, who was an MP for 28 years and now sits as a Labour peer in the upper chamber, said the likelihood of Jeremy Corbyn winning a majority was ‘extraordinarily slim‘.

Writing in us , Lord Blunkett said: ‘The behaviour of the hard-Left within the Labour Party – the anti-Semitism, the thuggery, the irrational views on security and international issues, and the lack of realisation that you have to embrace a big tent of people in order to win – certainly makes me despair.

‘But it also makes the likelihood of an all-out Labour majority in this general election extraordinarily slim. The political landscape right now is completely different to what the hard-Left would have you believe.

‘We are in a 1983 situation here, not a 2017 one – with not only the Lib Dems and the Greens, but the Brexit Party, the Tories and the SNP all seriously vying for traditional Labour votes.‘

The 1983 election saw Margaret Thatcher‘s Conservative Party secure a sizeable majority after votes for the opposition were split between Labour and the Liberal/SDP Alliance.


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